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Segunda División · Chile
Colina vs Santiago Morning prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Colina host Santiago Morning in the Segunda División (Chile) on 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Colina 1–1 Santiago Morning.
Going into the match, Colina had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Santiago Morning had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Colina's last 10 and 7 of Santiago Morning's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Colina averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Santiago Morning averaged 1.57 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Colina and 0.82 from Santiago Morning. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 26%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Colina (green) and Santiago Morning (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colina | LWWLD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Santiago Morning | LDDDD | 1.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Aug 2026 · Santiago Morning 2–1 Colina
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
| Colina Win | 40% | 2.45 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 - Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–2 - Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.57 · FT 1–0