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Segunda División · Chile
Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Provincial Osorno host Linares Unido in the Segunda División (Chile) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Linares Unido to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Provincial Osorno 1–0 Linares Unido.
Going into the match, Provincial Osorno had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Linares Unido had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Provincial Osorno's last 10 and 5 of Linares Unido's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Provincial Osorno averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Linares Unido averaged 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Provincial Osorno and 1.08 from Linares Unido. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Provincial Osorno (green) and Linares Unido (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial Osorno | WLLLD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Linares Unido | WLWLD | 1.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Linares Unido 1–0 Provincial Osorno
- 6 Jun 2026 · Provincial Osorno 1–1 Linares Unido
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
| Provincial Osorno HT & FT | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Colina vs Santiago Morning · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 - Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–2