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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Portugalete vs Eibar II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portugalete host Eibar II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Portugalete 0–0 Eibar II.
Going into the match, Portugalete had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Eibar II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Portugalete's last 10 and 7 of Eibar II's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portugalete averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Eibar II averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Portugalete and 1.03 from Eibar II. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 37%, against 32%, 29% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugalete | WLLWD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| Eibar II | DWWWW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Eibar II Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Portugalete form and statistics
- Eibar II form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Gernika vs Amorebieta · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 1–2 - Compostela vs Atlético Astorga · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 4–1 - Ourense CF vs Coruxo · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 0–1 - Racing Santander II vs Basconia · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53