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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Compostela vs Atlético Astorga prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Compostela host Atlético Astorga in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Compostela 4–1 Atlético Astorga.
Going into the match, Compostela had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Atlético Astorga had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Compostela's last 10 and 3 of Atlético Astorga's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Compostela averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Atlético Astorga averaged 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Compostela and 1.14 from Atlético Astorga. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | WLLWD | 0.80 | 1.30 | 20% | 40% |
| Atlético Astorga | WLLWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.72 |
| Compostela Win | 52% | 1.70 |
| Compostela HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Compostela form and statistics
- Atlético Astorga form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Gernika vs Amorebieta · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.28 · FT 1–2 - Ourense CF vs Coruxo · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 0–1 - Portugalete vs Eibar II · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Racing Santander II vs Basconia · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53