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League One · Scotland
Peterhead vs Cove Rangers prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Peterhead host Cove Rangers in the League One (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Peterhead 2–0 Cove Rangers.
Going into the match, Peterhead had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Cove Rangers had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Peterhead's last 10 and 7 of Cove Rangers's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peterhead averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Cove Rangers averaged 1.18 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Peterhead and 0.92 from Cove Rangers. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Peterhead (green) and Cove Rangers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | WLLLW | 0.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Cove Rangers | WDLWW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Cove Rangers 3–0 Peterhead
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - East Fife vs Alloa Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - East Kilbride vs Montrose · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Queen of the South vs Ross County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–7