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League One · Scotland
Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Airdrie United host Hamilton Academical in the League One (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Airdrie United 1–2 Hamilton Academical.
Going into the match, Airdrie United had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 9. Hamilton Academical had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Airdrie United's last 10 and 2 of Hamilton Academical's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Airdrie United averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.35 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Hamilton Academical averaged 2.07 scored and 0.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Airdrie United and 1.56 from Hamilton Academical. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 56%, against 28%, 26% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Airdrie United (green) and Hamilton Academical (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | WDWWW | 2.40 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Hamilton Academical | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.30 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Hamilton Academical 4–0 Airdrie United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- East Fife vs Alloa Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - East Kilbride vs Montrose · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Peterhead vs Cove Rangers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Queen of the South vs Ross County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–7