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League One · Scotland
East Kilbride vs Montrose prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
East Kilbride host Montrose in the League One (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: East Kilbride 1–1 Montrose.
Going into the match, East Kilbride had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 18. Montrose had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of East Kilbride's last 10 and 7 of Montrose's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home East Kilbride averaged 3.40 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Montrose averaged 1.42 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from East Kilbride and 1.40 from Montrose. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between East Kilbride (green) and Montrose (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | WDWLD | 2.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 90% |
| Montrose | WLLLL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Montrose 3–0 East Kilbride
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| East Kilbride Win | 56% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - East Fife vs Alloa Athletic · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Peterhead vs Cove Rangers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Queen of the South vs Ross County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–7