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League One · Scotland
East Fife vs Alloa Athletic prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
East Fife host Alloa Athletic in the League One (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: East Fife 0–3 Alloa Athletic.
Going into the match, East Fife had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Alloa Athletic had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of East Fife's last 10 and 7 of Alloa Athletic's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home East Fife averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Alloa Athletic averaged 0.69 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from East Fife and 1.10 from Alloa Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between East Fife (green) and Alloa Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife | LDLLL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
| Alloa Athletic | DLLDW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Alloa Athletic 0–0 East Fife
- 18 Apr 2026 · Alloa Athletic 2–0 East Fife
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - East Kilbride vs Montrose · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Peterhead vs Cove Rangers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Queen of the South vs Ross County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–7