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Serie A · Italy
Parma vs Udinese prediction and preview
28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parma host Udinese in the Serie A (Italy) on 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Parma had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 17. Udinese had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Parma's last 10 and 7 of Udinese's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parma averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Udinese averaged 1.60 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Parma and 1.19 from Udinese. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 46%, against 33%, 30% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parma (green) and Udinese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Udinese 0–1 Parma
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Genoa vs Juventus · 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Juventus Win @ 1.67 - Monza vs Napoli · 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - AC Milan vs Bologna · 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Venezia vs Inter · 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57