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Serie A · Italy
Genoa vs Juventus prediction and preview
28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Genoa host Juventus in the Serie A (Italy) on 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Juventus Win — Juventus to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Genoa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Juventus had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Genoa's last 10 and 5 of Juventus's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Genoa averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Juventus averaged 1.17 scored and 0.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Genoa and 1.44 from Juventus. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 56%, against 17%, 26% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Genoa (green) and Juventus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Juventus Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Monza vs Napoli · 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - AC Milan vs Bologna · 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Parma vs Udinese · 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Venezia vs Inter · 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57