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Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PAOK host Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908.
Going into the match, PAOK had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Iraklis 1908 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of PAOK's last 10 and 5 of Iraklis 1908's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PAOK averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Iraklis 1908 averaged 0.71 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from PAOK and 0.72 from Iraklis 1908. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 75%, 16% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PAOK (green) and Iraklis 1908 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | LWWWL | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Iraklis 1908 | WDDWD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Win | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| PAOK 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League 1 matches that day
- Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–2 - Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–1 - Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Kalamata vs OFI · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 · FT 4–3