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Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kifisia host Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kifisia 1–2 Aris Thessalonikis.
Going into the match, Kifisia had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Aris Thessalonikis had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kifisia's last 10 and 5 of Aris Thessalonikis's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kifisia averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Aris Thessalonikis averaged 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Kifisia and 1.38 from Aris Thessalonikis. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 31%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kifisia (green) and Aris Thessalonikis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | WWLDL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Aris Thessalonikis | WDWLD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League 1 matches that day
- PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–1 - Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Kalamata vs OFI · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 · FT 4–3