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Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Panetolikos host Olympiakos Piraeus in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Panetolikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Going into the match, Panetolikos had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Olympiakos Piraeus had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Panetolikos's last 10 and 3 of Olympiakos Piraeus's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Panetolikos averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Olympiakos Piraeus averaged 1.25 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Panetolikos and 1.24 from Olympiakos Piraeus. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 49%, against 9%, 20% and 71% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Panetolikos (green) and Olympiakos Piraeus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | LLLWW | 1.30 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | WWWWL | 1.50 | 0.50 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League 1 matches that day
- PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 · 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 1–2 - Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 5–1 - Kalamata vs OFI · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 · FT 4–3