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Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Palmeiras host RB Bragantino in the Serie A (Brazil) on 24 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Palmeiras had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6. RB Bragantino had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Palmeiras's last 10 and 8 of RB Bragantino's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Palmeiras averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 19 matches; away from home RB Bragantino averaged 1.29 scored and 1.18 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Palmeiras and 0.75 from RB Bragantino. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 16%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Palmeiras (green) and RB Bragantino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | LWWWW | 1.40 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
| RB Bragantino | DWDLL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Apr 2026 · RB Bragantino 0–1 Palmeiras
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Palmeiras Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Santos vs Bahia · 25 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense · 24 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians · 24 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Vasco DA Gama Win @ 1.70