Home › League stats › La Liga › Osasuna vs Racing Santander
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Osasuna host Racing Santander in the La Liga (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander.
Going into the match, Osasuna had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Racing Santander had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Osasuna's last 10 and 8 of Racing Santander's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Osasuna averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Racing Santander averaged 1.00 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Osasuna and 1.49 from Racing Santander. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 49%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Osasuna (green) and Racing Santander (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | LDLLL | 0.90 | 2.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Racing Santander | DLLWL | 1.80 | 2.50 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Jul 2026 · Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Real Madrid Win @ 1.22 - Malaga vs Real Sociedad · 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–5 - Celta Vigo vs Alaves · 18 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 · FT 2–1