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La Liga · Spain
Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Osasuna host Athletic Club in the La Liga (Spain) on 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Athletic Club to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Osasuna had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Athletic Club had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Osasuna's last 10 and 4 of Athletic Club's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Osasuna averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Athletic Club averaged 2.41 scored and 1.41 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Osasuna and 1.81 from Athletic Club. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 53%, against 26%, 27% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Osasuna (green) and Athletic Club (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | LWLWL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Athletic Club | WWWLD | 1.90 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| Athletic Club Win | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Valencia vs Real Madrid · 7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna · 7 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Malaga vs Racing Santander · 7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67