Home › League stats › La Liga › Malaga vs Racing Santander
La Liga · Spain
Malaga vs Racing Santander prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC · La Rosaleda, Malaga
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Malaga host Racing Santander in the La Liga (Spain) on 7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Malaga had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Racing Santander had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Malaga's last 10 and 6 of Racing Santander's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Malaga averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Racing Santander averaged 0.83 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Malaga and 1.35 from Racing Santander. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 24%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Malaga (green) and Racing Santander (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | LWDLD | 1.00 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Racing Santander | LWWLD | 1.50 | 2.60 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Malaga 1–1 Racing Santander
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Valencia vs Real Madrid · 7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Osasuna vs Athletic Club · 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 - Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna · 7 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30