Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction and preview

7 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC · RCDE Stadium, Cornella

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 73%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Espanyol host Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga (Spain) on 7 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Espanyol had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Deportivo La Coruna had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Espanyol's last 10 and 7 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Espanyol averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Deportivo La Coruna averaged 1.60 scored and 0.93 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Espanyol and 1.05 from Deportivo La Coruna. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Espanyol (green) and Deportivo La Coruna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength55% – 44%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Espanyol	WDLLD	1.10	1.40	70%	50%
Deportivo La Coruna	WWLDL	1.30	1.40	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Under 3.5 Goals	73%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Double Chance 1X	70%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
BTTS Yes	53%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.