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Serie B · Brazil
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Operario-PR host Athletic Club in the Serie B (Brazil) on 23 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Operario-PR had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Athletic Club had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Operario-PR's last 10 and 6 of Athletic Club's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Operario-PR averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.32 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Athletic Club averaged 1.18 scored and 1.35 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Operario-PR and 1.28 from Athletic Club. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 29%, against 50%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Operario-PR (green) and Athletic Club (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR | LLLLD | 1.40 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
| Athletic Club | DDLLD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jul 2026 · Athletic Club 0–1 Operario-PR
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Operario-PR Win | 49% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - São Bernardo vs Vila Nova · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Avai vs Botafogo SP · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Sport Recife vs Criciuma · 24 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36