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Serie B · Brazil
Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Avai host Botafogo SP in the Serie B (Brazil) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Avai had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 13. Botafogo SP had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Avai's last 10 and 5 of Botafogo SP's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avai averaged 1.26 goals scored and 0.84 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Botafogo SP averaged 0.63 scored and 0.94 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Avai and 0.89 from Botafogo SP. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | DWWLL | 0.60 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Botafogo SP | WWWLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jul 2026 · Botafogo SP 3–1 Avai
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Avai Win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - São Bernardo vs Vila Nova · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sport Recife vs Criciuma · 24 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Operario-PR vs Athletic Club · 23 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33