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Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · City Ground, Nottingham
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nottingham Forest host Manchester City in the Premier League (England) on 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nottingham Forest had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Manchester City had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 and 7 of Manchester City's last 10; 3 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nottingham Forest averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Manchester City averaged 1.92 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.56 from Manchester City. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 54%, against 20%, 25% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nottingham Forest (green) and Manchester City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | LDLLL | 0.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
| Manchester City | WLDLW | 2.90 | 1.70 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Arsenal vs Hull City · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30 - Fulham vs Newcastle · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Leeds vs Tottenham · 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33