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Premier League · England
Leeds vs Tottenham prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · Elland Road, Leeds
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leeds host Tottenham in the Premier League (England) on 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Leeds had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Tottenham had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Leeds's last 10 and 5 of Tottenham's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leeds averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Tottenham averaged 1.20 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Leeds and 0.85 from Tottenham. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leeds (green) and Tottenham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Tottenham 1–1 Leeds
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City · 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Arsenal vs Hull City · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30 - Fulham vs Newcastle · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20