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Premier League · England
Fulham vs Newcastle prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Craven Cottage, London
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fulham host Newcastle in the Premier League (England) on 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fulham had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Newcastle had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fulham's last 10 and 5 of Newcastle's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fulham averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Newcastle averaged 1.08 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Fulham and 0.85 from Newcastle. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 22%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fulham (green) and Newcastle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Fulham 2–0 Newcastle
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City · 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Arsenal vs Hull City · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30 - Leeds vs Tottenham · 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33