Home › League stats › Premier League › Arsenal vs Hull City
Premier League · England
Arsenal vs Hull City prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Emirates Stadium, London
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arsenal host Hull City in the Premier League (England) on 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 3.5 Goals — more than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 41% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arsenal had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Hull City had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Arsenal's last 10 and 6 of Hull City's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Hull City averaged 1.23 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Arsenal and 0.50 from Hull City. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 12%, against 81%, 13% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 13%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arsenal (green) and Hull City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Arsenal 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Arsenal HT & FT | 61% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City · 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Fulham vs Newcastle · 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Leeds vs Tottenham · 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33