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Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nottingham Forest host Arsenal in the Premier League (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Arsenal Win — Arsenal to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal.
Going into the match, Nottingham Forest had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Arsenal had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 and 3 of Arsenal's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nottingham Forest averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Arsenal averaged 1.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.24 from Arsenal. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 49%, against 17%, 24% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nottingham Forest (green) and Arsenal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | LLWDD | 0.90 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Arsenal | WWLWW | 2.10 | 0.70 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Arsenal Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Brighton vs Crystal Palace · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Brighton Win @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Leeds vs Manchester United · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1