Home › League stats › Premier League › Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Premier League · England
Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland.
Going into the match, Bournemouth had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Sunderland had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bournemouth's last 10 and 5 of Sunderland's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bournemouth averaged 3.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sunderland averaged 2.18 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Bournemouth and 0.92 from Sunderland. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bournemouth (green) and Sunderland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | WLLWD | 1.70 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
| Sunderland | WLLWL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Arsenal Win @ 1.62 · FT 0–1 - Brighton vs Crystal Palace · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Brighton Win @ 1.50 · FT 5–0 - Leeds vs Manchester United · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1