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Premier League · England
Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brighton host Crystal Palace in the Premier League (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Brighton Win — Brighton to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace.
Going into the match, Brighton had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 7. Crystal Palace had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton's last 10 and 5 of Crystal Palace's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brighton averaged 2.73 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Crystal Palace averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.04 goals from Brighton and 0.77 from Crystal Palace. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 6%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brighton (green) and Crystal Palace (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | WWWWW | 2.90 | 0.70 | 30% | 70% |
| Crystal Palace | LWLDW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Brighton Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Brighton HT & FT | 42% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Arsenal Win @ 1.62 · FT 0–1 - Bournemouth vs Sunderland · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Leeds vs Manchester United · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1