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Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, NEC Nijmegen had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Groningen had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 and 8 of Groningen's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Groningen averaged 1.88 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from NEC Nijmegen and 1.91 from Groningen. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 40%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NEC Nijmegen (green) and Groningen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | WDDDD | 1.50 | 2.10 | 80% | 70% |
| Groningen | LWWDD | 2.30 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Twente · 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax · 25 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: Ajax Win @ 1.44 - PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord · 25 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.30 - Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior · 25 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50