Home › League stats › J1 League › Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League · Japan
Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nagoya Grampus host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nagoya Grampus had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Yokohama F. Marinos had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Nagoya Grampus's last 10 and 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nagoya Grampus averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Nagoya Grampus and 1.54 from Yokohama F. Marinos. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nagoya Grampus (green) and Yokohama F. Marinos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | DWDWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | DDWDW | 1.40 | 0.70 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock · 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama · 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40