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J1 League · Japan
Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kawasaki Frontale host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kawasaki Frontale had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 11. Fagiano Okayama had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kawasaki Frontale's last 10 and 7 of Fagiano Okayama's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kawasaki Frontale averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Fagiano Okayama averaged 1.44 scored and 1.83 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Kawasaki Frontale and 1.16 from Fagiano Okayama. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kawasaki Frontale (green) and Fagiano Okayama (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | WWWLW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Fagiano Okayama | WLDLW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock · 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40