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J1 League · Japan
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Tokyo had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 2. Mito Hollyhock had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of FC Tokyo's last 10 and 3 of Mito Hollyhock's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tokyo averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Mito Hollyhock averaged 1.33 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from FC Tokyo and 0.65 from Mito Hollyhock. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 13%, against 71%, 20% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Tokyo (green) and Mito Hollyhock (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | DWLWW | 1.90 | 0.20 | 10% | 30% |
| Mito Hollyhock | LLWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Oct 2026 · Mito Hollyhock 1–0 FC Tokyo
- 24 Apr 2026 · FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| FC Tokyo Win | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama · 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40