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3. Division · Denmark
Næsby vs Vanløse prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Næsby host Vanløse in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Næsby 2–2 Vanløse.
Going into the match, Næsby had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 15. Vanløse had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Næsby's last 10 and 6 of Vanløse's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Næsby averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Vanløse averaged 1.43 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Næsby and 0.89 from Vanløse. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Næsby (green) and Vanløse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Vanløse 3–0 Næsby
- 25 May 2026 · Vanløse 0–2 Næsby
- 25 Apr 2026 · Næsby 1–1 Vanløse
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Næsby Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division matches that day
- ASA Aarhus vs Sundby · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Brønshøj vs Ringsted · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hørsholm-Usserød vs Frem · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Holbæk B&I vs Holstebro · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Ishøj vs FC Helsingor · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46