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3. Division · Denmark
Holbæk B&I vs Holstebro prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Holbæk B&I host Holstebro in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Holbæk B&I 4–0 Holstebro.
Going into the match, Holbæk B&I had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Holstebro had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Holbæk B&I's last 10 and 6 of Holstebro's last 10; 9 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Holbæk B&I averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Holstebro averaged 1.57 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.65 goals from Holbæk B&I and 1.14 from Holstebro. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 7%, against 66%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Holbæk B&I (green) and Holstebro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holbæk B&I | DWLWL | 2.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
| Holstebro | LLLLW | 1.50 | 2.40 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Holstebro 2–2 Holbæk B&I
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Holbæk B&I Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.77 |
| Holbæk B&I HT & FT | 47% | 1.95 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division matches that day
- ASA Aarhus vs Sundby · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Brønshøj vs Ringsted · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hørsholm-Usserød vs Frem · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Næsby vs Vanløse · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Ishøj vs FC Helsingor · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46