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3. Division · Denmark
ASA Aarhus vs Sundby prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ASA Aarhus host Sundby in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ASA Aarhus 1–2 Sundby.
Going into the match, ASA Aarhus had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Sundby had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of ASA Aarhus's last 10 and 4 of Sundby's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ASA Aarhus averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sundby averaged 1.29 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from ASA Aarhus and 1.21 from Sundby. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 30%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ASA Aarhus (green) and Sundby (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Aarhus | LLWLW | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
| Sundby | LLWWL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Sundby 1–0 ASA Aarhus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| ASA Aarhus Win | 46% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
| ASA Aarhus HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division matches that day
- Brønshøj vs Ringsted · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hørsholm-Usserød vs Frem · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Næsby vs Vanløse · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 2–2 - Holbæk B&I vs Holstebro · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Ishøj vs FC Helsingor · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46