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J1 League · Japan
Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K's Denki Stadium Mito, Mito
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mito Hollyhock host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 Goals — Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Mito Hollyhock had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Mito Hollyhock's last 10 and 2 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mito Hollyhock averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sanfrecce Hiroshima averaged 1.69 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.87 goals from Mito Hollyhock and 2.24 from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 67%, against 12%, 20% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mito Hollyhock (green) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | LLLLW | 1.00 | 1.70 | 20% | 40% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | LWLWW | 2.60 | 0.90 | 20% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima HT & FT | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 - Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33