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J1 League · Japan
Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kyoto Sanga host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kyoto Sanga had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Shimizu S-pulse had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Kyoto Sanga's last 10 and 6 of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kyoto Sanga averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Shimizu S-pulse averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Kyoto Sanga and 1.08 from Shimizu S-pulse. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 38%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kyoto Sanga (green) and Shimizu S-pulse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | WDDLW | 1.30 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Shimizu S-pulse | LLDLW | 1.20 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 - Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33