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J1 League · Japan
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fagiano Okayama host FC Tokyo in the J1 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fagiano Okayama had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. FC Tokyo had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 1 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Fagiano Okayama's last 10 and 0 of FC Tokyo's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fagiano Okayama averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Tokyo averaged 1.73 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Fagiano Okayama and 1.71 from FC Tokyo. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 56%, against 25%, 27% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fagiano Okayama (green) and FC Tokyo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | LWLDL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
| FC Tokyo | WDWLW | 2.40 | 0.10 | 0% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.20 - Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20