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J1 League · Japan
Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · Mercari Stadium, Kashima
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kashima host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League (Japan) on 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Kashima to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kashima had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 12. Cerezo Osaka had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Kashima's last 10 and 8 of Cerezo Osaka's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kashima averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Cerezo Osaka averaged 1.46 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Kashima and 1.42 from Cerezo Osaka. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kashima (green) and Cerezo Osaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima | WLDWW | 2.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Cerezo Osaka | WDDLW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Kashima Win | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa · 31 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus · 31 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo · 31 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33