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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marino de Luanco host Sestao River in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sestao River to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marino de Luanco 0–1 Sestao River.
Going into the match, Marino de Luanco had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Sestao River had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Marino de Luanco's last 10 and 5 of Sestao River's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marino de Luanco averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sestao River averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Marino de Luanco and 1.47 from Sestao River. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 53%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marino de Luanco (green) and Sestao River (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | LWLLL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
| Sestao River | WDWWW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Sestao River Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Sestao River HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Marino de Luanco form and statistics
- Sestao River form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Arosa vs Llanera · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 - Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–0 - Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 · FT 1–5