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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bergantiños host Real Oviedo II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Bergantiños to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bergantiños 3–0 Real Oviedo II.
Going into the match, Bergantiños had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 11. Real Oviedo II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bergantiños's last 10 and 5 of Real Oviedo II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bergantiños averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Real Oviedo II averaged 0.71 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from Bergantiños and 0.84 from Real Oviedo II. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bergantiños (green) and Real Oviedo II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | DWWWL | 2.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 80% |
| Real Oviedo II | WWDLL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Real Oviedo II 1–2 Bergantiños
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Bergantiños Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Bergantiños HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Bergantiños form and statistics
- Real Oviedo II form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Arosa vs Llanera · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 - Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 · FT 1–5