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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Arosa vs Llanera prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arosa host Llanera in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Arosa 4–1 Llanera.
Going into the match, Arosa had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Llanera had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Arosa's last 10 and 7 of Llanera's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arosa averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Llanera averaged 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Arosa and 1.72 from Llanera. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arosa (green) and Llanera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Arosa Win | 45% | 1.91 |
| Arosa HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–0 - Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 · FT 1–5