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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Deportivo Alavés II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimnástica Torrelavega host Deportivo Alavés II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Deportivo Alavés II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–5 Deportivo Alavés II.
Going into the match, Gimnástica Torrelavega had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Deportivo Alavés II had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 10 and 6 of Deportivo Alavés II's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimnástica Torrelavega averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Deportivo Alavés II averaged 2.14 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Gimnástica Torrelavega and 2.60 from Deportivo Alavés II. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 66%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimnástica Torrelavega (green) and Deportivo Alavés II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | DLDLL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Deportivo Alavés II | DWWWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Deportivo Alavés II Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Gimnástica Torrelavega form and statistics
- Deportivo Alavés II form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 - Bergantiños vs Real Oviedo II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 3–0 - Marino de Luanco vs Sestao River · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 0–1