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1. Lig · Turkey
Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manisa F.K. host Muğlaspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manisa F.K. 3–4 Muğlaspor.
Going into the match, Manisa F.K. had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Muğlaspor had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Manisa F.K.'s last 10 and 4 of Muğlaspor's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manisa F.K. averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Muğlaspor averaged 1.38 scored and 0.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Manisa F.K. and 1.46 from Muğlaspor. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manisa F.K. (green) and Muğlaspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | DLLDL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Muğlaspor | LDDDD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Lig matches that day
- Bursaspor vs Pendikspor · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 4–2 - Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü · 19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2