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1. Lig · Turkey

Bursaspor vs Pendikspor prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bursaspor host Pendikspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Bursaspor 2–0 Pendikspor.

Going into the match, Bursaspor had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Pendikspor had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Bursaspor's last 10 and 8 of Pendikspor's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bursaspor averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pendikspor averaged 1.11 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from Bursaspor and 0.70 from Pendikspor. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 8%, against 66%, 22% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bursaspor (green) and Pendikspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence57% – 43%
Overall strength67% – 32%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
BursasporWLWDW2.000.9060%80%
PendiksporLLDDD1.302.0080%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1280%1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.28
Bursaspor Win66%1.38
Under 3.5 Goals62%1.50
Over 2.5 Goals59%1.60
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals59%1.57
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 1. Lig matches that day