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FA WSL · England
Manchester United W vs Manchester City W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manchester United W host Manchester City W in the FA WSL (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Manchester United W 1–1 Manchester City W.
Going into the match, Manchester United W had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 14. Manchester City W had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Manchester United W's last 10 and 8 of Manchester City W's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manchester United W averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Manchester City W averaged 2.71 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Manchester United W and 2.17 from Manchester City W. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 51%, against 19%, 21% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manchester United W (green) and Manchester City W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United W | WWWWW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Manchester City W | WWDWD | 3.00 | 1.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Manchester City W Win | 61% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA WSL matches that day
- Birmingham City W vs Charlton Athletic W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Everton W vs Aston Villa W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–3