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FA WSL · England
Everton W vs Aston Villa W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Everton W host Aston Villa W in the FA WSL (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Everton W 2–3 Aston Villa W.
Going into the match, Everton W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Aston Villa W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Everton W's last 10 and 7 of Aston Villa W's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Everton W averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Aston Villa W averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Everton W and 1.28 from Aston Villa W. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 40%, against 44%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Everton W (green) and Aston Villa W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton W | LWLWW | 0.90 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Aston Villa W | WDWLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA WSL matches that day
- Manchester United W vs Manchester City W · 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Birmingham City W vs Charlton Athletic W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–3