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FA WSL · England
Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Liverpool W host London City Lionesses W in the FA WSL (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Liverpool W 2–2 London City Lionesses W.
Going into the match, Liverpool W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 19. London City Lionesses W had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Liverpool W's last 10 and 7 of London City Lionesses W's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Liverpool W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home London City Lionesses W averaged 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Liverpool W and 2.37 from London City Lionesses W. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 58%, against 22%, 23% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Liverpool W (green) and London City Lionesses W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool W | LLWWW | 2.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| London City Lionesses W | WWWWW | 2.30 | 0.90 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| London City Lionesses W Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA WSL matches that day
- Manchester United W vs Manchester City W · 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Birmingham City W vs Charlton Athletic W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Everton W vs Aston Villa W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–3