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FA WSL · England
Birmingham City W vs Charlton Athletic W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Birmingham City W host Charlton Athletic W in the FA WSL (England) on 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Birmingham City W 1–0 Charlton Athletic W.
Going into the match, Birmingham City W had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 22. Charlton Athletic W had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Birmingham City W's last 10 and 3 of Charlton Athletic W's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Birmingham City W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Charlton Athletic W averaged 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Birmingham City W and 0.72 from Charlton Athletic W. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 10%, against 58%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Birmingham City W (green) and Charlton Athletic W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City W | DLLDL | 1.30 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Charlton Athletic W | LLLLL | 0.30 | 2.70 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Charlton Athletic W 0–2 Birmingham City W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Birmingham City W Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA WSL matches that day
- Manchester United W vs Manchester City W · 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Everton W vs Aston Villa W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Liverpool W vs London City Lionesses W · 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W · 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · FA WSL
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–3