Home › League stats › Segunda División › Leganes vs Mallorca
Segunda División · Spain
Leganes vs Mallorca prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leganes host Mallorca in the Segunda División (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Leganes had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Mallorca had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Leganes's last 10 and 2 of Mallorca's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leganes averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Mallorca averaged 0.56 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.40 goals from Leganes and 1.17 from Mallorca. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 55%, against 29%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leganes (green) and Mallorca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Almeria vs Oviedo · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Almeria Win @ 1.62 - Girona vs Celta de Vigo II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Cordoba vs Eibar · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53