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Segunda División · Spain
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Las Palmas host Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Las Palmas had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Real Sociedad II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Las Palmas's last 10 and 8 of Real Sociedad II's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Las Palmas averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Real Sociedad II averaged 1.38 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Las Palmas and 1.48 from Real Sociedad II. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 24%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | LLDLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Real Sociedad II | LLLWL | 1.70 | 2.40 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Almeria vs Oviedo · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Almeria Win @ 1.62 - Girona vs Celta de Vigo II · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Leganes vs Mallorca · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cordoba vs Eibar · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53